Posts Tagged job

Consumer Spending in U.S. Rises More Than Forecast

Consumer spending in the U.S. rose more than forecast in July, exceeding gains in incomes, a sign the improvement will not last without more jobs.

Purchases rose 0.4 percent, the most since March, after little change the prior month, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. Incomes climbed 0.2 percent, less than projected, and the savings rate dropped.

Disposable incomes, or the money left over after taxes, dropped for the first time since January after adjusting for inflation, showing the lack of jobs is hurting Americans’ spending power. Companies from Intel Corp. to J. Crew Group Inc. are cutting forecasts as unemployment and flagging confidence prompt households to scale back.

“This, so far, is allaying near-term double-dip concerns,” said Derek Holt, an economist at Scotia Capital Inc. in Toronto, referring to fears the world’s largest economy will tip back into a recession. “It nonetheless showcases very lackluster growth in the U.S. economy.”

Stock-index futures fell after the report, extending earlier losses, and Treasury securities rose. The contract of the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index was fell 0.3 percent to 1,060.3 at 8:54 a.m. in New York. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note dropped to 2.60 percent from 2.65 percent late on Aug. 27. Read the rest of this entry »

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Jobs: Will a May Surge Be Followed by a June Slump?

With Census hiring peaking in May, Action Economics expects a gain of 480,000 U.S. jobs. But a fall-off in Census jobs could lead to a payrolls decline in June.

Action Economics expects U.S. nonfarm payrolls to surge by 480,000 in the government’s May employment report, scheduled for release on June 4, with a hefty boost of 420,000 from Census hiring and a 400,000 rise for government payrolls, alongside an 80,000 rise in private payrolls—the fifth straight monthly increase—that would come in below the surprisingly large 231,000 increase in April and the 174,000 gain in March.

We also expect the jobless rate to moderate to 9.8 percent from the surprising pop to 9.9 percent in April, while the average workweek holds at 34.1 hours and average hourly earnings post a 0.1 percent gain.

The industry mix should reveal the 400,000 surge in government hiring mentioned earlier, alongside a 10,000 rise in goods-producing employment that includes a 20,000 gain in factory employment, and a 70,000 gain in service-sector jobs excluding government. Though construction employment has risen in each of the previous two months, the gains may reflect the boost in April housing-sector activity spurred by the Apr. 30 expiration of the home buyers’ tax credit, and could prove temporary. Read the rest of this entry »

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More on the Free Credit Score Amendment

The Senate approved an amendment to the financial regulatory bill that would provide free credit scores to some consumers in some circumstances.

Here’s how it would work if it survives the reconciliation process with the bill from the House and President Obama signs it, according to staff members from the office of Senator Mark Udall, Democrat of Colorado, who introduced the amendment:

When any lender or insurance company rejects your loan application or gives you a worse rate or quote than it might have because of information in your credit report (or if an employer refuses to hire you based on that information), the lender must then give you a copy of the credit score that it used in its decision making. That would presumably be a FICO score, which is what most lenders use.

So, memo to cynics like me: The big credit bureaus (Equifax, Experian and TransUnion) would not be involved in distributing the free scores and thus won’t have an opportunity to pass off their proprietary or educational scores as real FICO scores. If you didn’t get a decent loan or a job because of your credit, you’ll get the actual FICO or other score that was used to judge you. Read the rest of this entry »

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Four Tips for Single, Female Homebuyers

Buying a home today takes a certain confidence — in the market and in your own financial strength. A lot of single, female homebuyers are taking that bold step in high heels, with no one at their side.

Nationally, single women accounted for 21 percent of all home purchases in the year ended this past June, while single men accounted for just 10 percent, according to the National Association of Realtors.

Experts say female homebuyers share characteristics and concerns that set them apart from male buyers. Following are four tips single, female buyers should keep in mind when purchasing a home.

Buy with confidence

A variety of factors — such as a greater likelihood of working at jobs that offer paltry retirement and other benefits — keep single women from achieving their financial goals, says Mariko Chang, a consultant who recently completed a report on the wealth gap for women for the Insight Center for Community Economic Development in Oakland, Calif. Read the rest of this entry »

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Home sales jump, jobless claims fall

The economy is improving, with home sales up, jobless claims down and inflation tame. Yet there are concerns the economic rebound won’t get much juice from the housing market, which is being fueled by government tax breaks.

Sales of previously occupied homes grew by nearly 7 percent last month, more than expected, the National Association of Realtors said Thursday. It was a welcome sign after three months of declines, and a solid kickoff to what’s expected to be a strong spring selling season.

Nevertheless, many analysts caution that the housing rebound could fade in the second half of the year. They predict a flood of low-priced foreclosures will hit the market and push down prices in a destabilizing “double dip.”

Another threat to the U.S. economic recovery is fallout from the Greek debt crisis. On Thursday, Europe’s statistics agency found that Greece’s budget deficit last year was larger than previously thought, which may push the country to seek emergency loans. Shares on Wall Street were down in the morning, but ended the day modestly higher.

So far,”the recovery looks like it will continue,”said Jay Feldman, senior economist with Credit Suisse.”We don’t see another recession.” Read the rest of this entry »

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New jobless claims unexpectedly rise by 24,000

New weekly jobless claims unexpectedly rose by 24,000 to 484,000 last week, the government said this morning, increasing worries that high unemployment will stick around for a long time.

Forecasters had expected the new jobless claims number to come in at 430,000.

The four-week moving average, which smooths out volatility in the number, rose by 7,500 last week to 457,750.

Continuing claims rose from 4.57 million to 4.64 million.

Economists suggest the spike in claims could be related to the Easter holiday. Each week, it seems, there’s some sort of anomaly that affects the new jobless claims — the big February snows, the March snapback from the big February snows, the Easter holiday — so it’s hard to get a good handle on the real jobless picture in the U.S. Read the rest of this entry »

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Starting Over at 55

AFTER 24 years as a marketing manager for Coors, Cinde Dolphin knew what was coming — Miller and Coors had just merged their United States beer operations, and hundreds of jobs were sure to be eliminated.

Worried that these youth-oriented companies might lay off an old-timer like her, Ms. Dolphin decided to take a buyout and relax. She sunned on the beaches of New Zealand, went whitewater rafting on the Yampa River in Colorado and saw friends and Broadway shows in New York.

But after a few months, she realized that she missed working. So at age 55, she began applying for marketing jobs, confident she would be quickly hired because of her Coors pedigree. “About four months into my job search, I realized I wasn’t getting many callbacks,” she said.

A Sacramento resident who has survived three bouts with cancer, Ms. Dolphin is not one to give up easily. She decided on an alternate tack — she would start her own business and thus join the nation’s fastest-growing group of entrepreneurs, those age 55 and above. Read the rest of this entry »

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Stock investors ask: What’s the next big thing?

A year after the stock market began its comeback from 12-year lows, investors are looking for the next big thing.

Stocks have lost some of the momentum that propelled the Dow Jones industrial average up 61.4 percent from its close of 6,547 on March 9, 2009. That’s natural – bull markets tend to slow down as they head into their second year. But the lethargic pace of the economic recovery has also been a bit of a drag on stocks. And so investors are waiting for signs that the economy is ready to put up some solid, sustainable growth numbers.

The most likely trigger: job growth. Investors need to see a Labor Department report that says employers are creating more jobs than they’re cutting.

Until then, investors are going to stay cautious. Analysts say the market is likely to move sideways or drift higher, as it’s been doing over the past few weeks. Tuesday’s trading fit the pattern of modest moves. The Dow rose nearly 12 points. The average is up 1.3 percent so far this year.

But that doesn’t mean the market isn’t going to have its fitful moments. And it certainly has volatile industries that are expected to move the rest of the market. On Tuesday, the financial companies that led stocks higher in the past year again drove trading. Analysts said financial shares rallied as investors reacted to rumors that the government might prohibit the trades known as short sales in stocks of companies it owns. The government has large stakes in Citigroup Inc., American International Group Inc. and mortgage companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac after bailing them out during the 2008 financial crisis. Read the rest of this entry »

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Low Rates Needed for ‘Some Time’

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans said low interest rates are likely to be needed “for some time” as high unemployment lingers and inflation stays below his goal.

“With the unemployment rate at 9.7 percent and inflation significantly under my benchmark for price stability, there is no conflict between our policy goals,” Evans said in the text of a speech in Arlington, Virginia. Weakness in the job market, including long-term unemployment, means that “This accommodation will likely be appropriate for some time.”

Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said last month the U.S. economy is in a “nascent” recovery that still requires low interest rates to encourage demand by consumers and businesses once federal stimulus fades. At the same time, policy makers are winding down emergency programs and laying plans for an eventual reduction of the Fed’s balance sheet to prevent an increase in inflation as the economy recovers.

The U.S. unemployment rate held at 9.7 percent in February and payrolls dropped 36,000, less than forecast, a sign that the labor market may be stabilizing after a recession that has eliminated 8.4 million jobs. The economy expanded at a 5.9 percent annual pace in the fourth quarter, the fastest rate in six years, the Commerce Department reported last month. Read the rest of this entry »

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Bernanke May Face Concerns on Second Jobless Recovery in Decade

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, in two days of congressional testimony beginning today, will probably face questions on how he plans to end the worst jobs slump since the Great Depression.

Unemployment “will be a big topic” when the Fed chief faces the Senate Banking Committee, Senator Bob Menendez, a New Jersey Democrat and a panel member, said in an interview. “How do we help small- and mid-sized businesses, because they’re the ones who are going to create the jobs? What is he going to do and the Federal Reserve going to do to help grow this economy?”

Democratic leaders are pushing legislation to stimulate the job market amid concerns that unemployment will translate into losses in November elections. The Senate is scheduled to vote today on a $15 billion bill that provides a payroll tax holiday for hiring workers who have been jobless for at least 60 days.

Bernanke will deliver his semi-annual monetary policy report before the House Financial Services Committee at about 10 a.m. today. He plans to testify before the Senate Banking Committee tomorrow. Read the rest of this entry »

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