Posts Tagged Australian dollar

The Carry Trade Can Be Unforgiving

Billions of dollars are wagered daily in the “carry trade,” in which traders sell the currencies of countries with low interest rates like the U.S. and Japan while simultaneously buying the currency of countries with higher rates like Australia and Brazil.

These arbitrage opportunities can persist for years at a time. But before you try your hand at the carry trade, be aware that currency values can change in seconds, causing sudden losses. And because currency trading typically involves heavy financial leverage—traders borrow as much as $500 for each dollar they invest to amplify results—the carry trade can rapidly become the scary trade.

That is what happened in the fall of 2008, when traders suddenly rushed to the safety of U.S. dollars during the financial crisis. Those who had sold the dollar and Japanese yen to own higher-yielding currencies quickly piled up big losses as these other currencies sank in value. The losses wiped out several years’ worth of gains in the carry trade.

While amateur traders see the carry trade as a road to riches, “I see it as a way to get broke,” says Amarjit Sahota, chief executive at HiFX Inc., which helps companies and individuals manage currency exposure. Read the rest of this entry »

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